The Tipping Point Blog Archive 2010
Anti-casino forces are on the air with a new ad asserting that the casino proposal doesn't add up to backers' claims:
Two new polls of the Maine governor's race were released yesterday, with similar results among the frontrunners but very different numbers for undecided voters and support for non-party candidates.
A Rasmussen Reports one-day survey of 500 likely voters found Paul Lepage with 35%, Libby Mitchell with 32% and Eliot Cutler with 21% of the vote. 6% preferred another candidate and 6% were undecided.
The Maine Conservation Voters Action Fund has launched a new TV ad and accompanying Web site targeting Paul LePage for his positions on a variety of environmental issues.
FactsonPaulLePage.org faults the Republican candidate for his statements on drilling for oil off the Maine coast, limiting wind power, supporting nuclear power plants, and proposing the elimination of a variety of environmental regulations.
A Political Action Committee formed by friends and allies of independent gubernatorial candidate Eliot Cutler has launched a new ad to support his campaign.
According to a note by Susan Cover, "members of the PAC include Tony Buxton and Jon Doyle, attorneys and State House lobbyists; Jean Gulliver, former chairwoman of the Maine Board of Education; and Kay Rand, a public affairs consultant and former chief of staff for independent Gov. Angus King."
Pine Tree Politics, the conservative-leaning blog authored by NRSC staffer Matt Gagnon, has broken new ground in the coverage of Maine politics. On Saturday it became the first Maine blog to pay for and release a public opinion poll.
There's a lot of discussion today on whether or not independent gubernatorial candidate Eliot Cutler actually has a hope of winning the governor's race.
In an article that appeared on the front pages of the MaineToday papers this morning, reporter Tom Bell takes a look at history:
In his first election, King was behind in every poll until the last week. By this time in the campaign, however, a poll showed he had 31 percent of the vote, behind only Democrat Joe Brennan.
Many political observers view the margin of error in opinion polls as the most important metric of a poll’s potential accuracy. This isn’t always the case. Often the question wording, voter screen, and weighting of the poll may be more important in understanding the survey than the MOE, which is almost always simply a measure of how many people were interviewed.
Chellie Pingree today launched her first ad of 2010, with a focus on small businesses.
The LePage campaign has announced that they're bringing on some outside help. Dan Demeritt will be joining their team as press secretary and "will be the campaign's initial point of contact for press inquiries."
Judging by LePage's recent series of outbursts and gaffes, I imagine that much of this job will involve repeating the phrase "what Mayor LePage meant to say was..."
The air war is heating up in the Maine gubernatorial race, with Paul LePage's campaign launching its first ad of the general election and Libby Mitchell's campaign airing its second.